[NV Greens] Fwd: [usgp-dx] Analysis points to election `corruption'

[Paul Etxeberri]

>
>http://rawstory.com/news/2005/index.php?p=233
>4/1/2005
>Analysis points to election `corruption'
>
>A group says the chance of exit polls being so wrong is nearly one 
>in a million, according to a report in the Akron Beacon Journal.
>
>#
>There's a one-in-959,000 chance that exit polls could have been so 
>wrong in predicting the outcome of the 2004 presidential election, 
>according to a statistical analysis released Thursday.
>
>Exit polls in the November election showed Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., 
>winning by 3 percent, but President George W. Bush won the vote 
>count by 2.5 percent.
>
>The explanation for the discrepancy that was offered by the exit 
>polling firm - that Kerry voters were more likely to participate in 
>the exit polling - is an "implausible theory,'' according to the 
>report issued Thursday by US Count Votes, a group that claims it's 
>made up of about two dozen statisticians.
>
>Twelve - including a Case Western Reserve University mathematics 
>instructor - signed the report.
>
>Instead, the data support the idea that "corruption of the vote 
>count occurred more freely in districts that were overwhelmingly 
>Bush strongholds.''
>
>The report dismisses chance and inaccurate exit polling as the 
>reasons for their discrepancy with the results.
>
>They found that the one hypothesis that can't be ruled out is 
>inaccurate election results.
>
>"The hypothesis that the voters' intent was not accurately recorded 
>or counted. needs further investigation,'' it said. .
>
>"What are you going to do except laugh at it?'' said Carlo LoParo, 
>spokesman for Ohio Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell, who's 
>responsible for administering Ohio's elections and is a Republican 
>candidate for governor. "We're not particularly interested in (the 
>report's findings). We wish them luck, but hope they find something 
>more interesting to do.''
>
>The statistical analysis, though, shows that the discrepancy
>
>between polls and results was especially high in precincts that 
>voted for Bush - as high as a 10 percent difference.
>
>The report says if the official explanation - that Bush voters were 
>more shy about filling out exit polls in precincts with more Kerry 
>voters - is true, then the precincts with large Bush votes should be 
>more accurate, not less accurate as the data indicate.
>
>The report also called into question new voting machine technologies.
>
>"All voting equipment technologies except paper ballots were 
>associated with large unexplained exit poll discrepancies all 
>favoring the same party, (which) certainly warrants further 
>inquiry,'' the report concludes.
>
>Read the full, registration-restricted article at Ohio.com.
>
>
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-- 
Paul Etxeberri

"Forests precede civilizations and deserts follow"   ---Chateaubriand